“Starting from 2021, the Chinese government has explicitly prohibited cryptocurrency trading. As an international financial center, Hong Kong’s open attitude and policies towards cryptocurrencies provide new channels for investors from mainland China. What will be the future of cryptocurrency OTC in Hong Kong?

Since 2021, the Chinese government has explicitly banned cryptocurrency trading. As traditional financial institutions cannot directly participate in cryptocurrency trading, over-the-counter (OTC) trading has become the main channel for many Chinese investors to engage in the cryptocurrency market, circumventing regulatory restrictions and meeting their investment needs.OTC stands for Over-the-Counter, and as the name suggests, any trading venue outside of traditional exchanges can be considered an OTC market. In the cryptocurrency field, OTC trading mainly occurs in three forms: online platforms mediated by social media, offline physical exchange points, and cryptocurrency ATMs.

As an international financial center, Hong Kong’s open attitude and policies towards cryptocurrencies provide new channels for investors from mainland China. According to data from Chainalysis, Hong Kong’s cryptocurrency adoption rate grew by 85.6% in the past year, making it the fastest-growing region in the area.

To further strengthen industry regulation and reduce retail investment risks, ++in September, the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission announced plans to jointly regulate OTC virtual asset trading services with the Customs and Excise Department++. Previously, in a proposal released in February 2024, this sector was only regulated by customs. It is reported that ++the Securities and Futures Commission has consulted the industry on a new licensing system for cryptocurrency OTC trading. Additionally, the Commission is exploring a licensing system for cryptocurrency custody services.++

1. Current Status of OTC in Hong Kong

The OTC market for cryptocurrencies in Hong Kong once thrived, with numerous exchange shops scattered throughout the streets, providing users with convenient cash and cryptocurrency exchange services. These shops typically do not require users to undergo identity verification (KYC), and the single transaction limit is relatively high; for example, some shops allowed exchanges of up to 1 million HKD last year, with users only needing to leave a phone number or email to complete the transaction. Compared to the high fees of digital exchanges, the exchange rates at OTC shops are more attractive and convenient, attracting a large number of users.According to surveys, as of June 2023, the total digital assets flowing through Hong Kong reached 64 billion USD, with OTC exchange shops accounting for a significant proportion. Hong Kong law enforcement agencies initially estimated that there are about 200 physical virtual asset OTC trading shops and approximately 250 active online virtual asset trading service providers in the city.

However, this free trading environment also harbors risks. The OTC market lacks regulation, leading to money laundering, fraud, and other illegal activities. For instance, in the JPEX and Hounax incidents that occurred in 2023, some cryptocurrency exchange shops misled investors with false claims about platform compliance, resulting in significant losses. In the JPEX incident, investors lost as much as 180 million USD, while the Hounax scam led to a total loss of 18.9 million USD for 145 victims.

2 In February 2024, Hong Kong Announced Plans to Regulate Virtual Currency OTC Exchanges

1) Licensing System:All online platforms and offline entities (including ATMs) engaged in virtual asset spot trading services in Hong Kong must apply for a license from Hong Kong Customs.This move signifies the official end of the era without KYC, as all OTC platforms will be required to implement KYC processes.

2) Restrictions on Trading Currencies:Licensed OTC platforms are only allowed to offer cryptocurrencies listed on exchanges licensed by the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission, as well as stablecoins that obtain future approval from the Hong Kong Monetary Authority.

3) Anti-Money Laundering and Counter-Terrorist Financing Compliance:Licensed OTC platforms must comply with the provisions of Hong Kong’s Anti-Money Laundering Ordinance, establishing a sound anti-money laundering and counter-terrorist financing system, including collecting customer information and monitoring suspicious transactions.

4) Penalties for Violations:Operating OTC businesses without a license, upon conviction, may result in a fine of up to 1 million HKD and imprisonment for two years.Licensed institutions that violate relevant regulations will face administrative penalties, including fines, reprimands, suspension, or revocation of licenses.

Currently, the public consultation on the OTC licensing system by the Hong Kong government ended in April. The new regulations have sparked heated discussions in the industry, with some believing it will promote industry compliance, while others worry that overly strict regulations may hinder industry development. The specific implementation details of the new regulations remain to be seen, but it is foreseeable that the Hong Kong OTC market will undergo significant changes.

3. How the New Regulations Will Affect the Market

The introduction of new regulations will have a profound impact on the cryptocurrency market in Hong Kong, especially in the OTC trading sector. Specifically:

• Industry Restructuring and Intensified Head Effect: The new regulations require OTC platforms to implement KYC certification, comply with anti-money laundering regulations, and restrict tradable currencies, which will significantly increase operational costs. Small OTC exchange shops may be forced to exit the market due to their inability to bear compliance costs, while large, compliant platforms will gain a larger market share, further increasing industry concentration.

• Rising Compliance Costs and Potential Transfer of Trading Costs: To meet regulatory requirements, OTC platforms will need to invest more resources in compliance, such as hiring compliance personnel and upgrading KYC systems. These rising costs may partially be passed on to users, leading to a decrease in the cost advantages of OTC trading.

• Decreased User Trading Experience: The introduction of KYC certification means that users will need to provide more personal information, reducing the convenience of transactions. Additionally, restrictions on tradable currencies may also limit users’ freedom of trading choices.

• Increased Market Transparency and Reduced Risks: The implementation of new regulations will make OTC trading more transparent, allowing regulatory agencies to better monitor the flow of funds and combat money laundering and other illegal activities. At the same time, increased regulation of platforms will raise industry entry barriers, reducing the risk of investors falling victim to scams.

Although the new regulations may cause some short-term disruptions in the market, in the long run, a sound regulatory system will enhance investor confidence, attract more institutional funds, and promote the healthier and more sustainable development of the cryptocurrency market in Hong Kong.